MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Which cars fail their MOT more than their age predicts?

Every failure rate below is computed from 16,110,187 official DVSA initial tests across these 25 families (calendar 2024; national class-4 total: 52.2M) and standardised for fleet age. 100 = expected for the fleet's age profile; below 100 is better, above is worse. No opinions, no surveys — test outcomes only.

RELEASE dvsa-2024-v1 · initial tests only (fail = defect found at first examination, incl. rectified-at-station) · CI-gated colour verdicts · full methodology · A–Z directory · national statistics + CSV
#FamilyIndexInitial-failTests 2024
1BMW 3 Series75.6
24.75%675,043
2Audi A382.1
23.11%654,933
3Mercedes C Class83.6
22.55%646,907
4Audi A484.6
25.09%406,182
5Honda E84.6
9.48%2,699
6Honda Jazz85
26.6%440,547
7Volkswagen Golf85.1
24.94%1,323,641
8MINI Hatch85.5
23.43%1,011,919
9Ford Kuga91.3
20.4%396,566
10Mercedes A Class91.3
18.83%585,107
11Toyota Yaris95.6
26.89%629,646
12Mitsubishi Outlander100.5·d
21.3%120,823
13Honda Civic100.7
32.3%411,763
14Ford Focus106.9
31.02%1,348,944
15Kia Sportage107.8
22.55%396,816
16Vauxhall Astra109.1
33.71%914,157
17Nissan Leaf109.2
17.69%70,882
18Volkswagen Polo114.8
32.68%895,817
19Fiat 500116.2
31.68%477,588
20Ford Fiesta117.8
34.33%1,959,383
21Nissan Qashqai122.9
30.07%800,602
22Tesla Model 3122.9
14.03%116,025
23Vauxhall Corsa123.5
36.66%1,191,943
24Renault Clio141.5
41.43%473,424
25DS 3150.2
40.69%158,830

·d = directional: 95% CI includes 100, colour verdict withheld. Bars scaled to the worst index.

Highest age-adjusted risk in this set: DS 3 (index 150.2); lowest: BMW 3 Series (index 75.6). A low raw failure rate can still mean a high index when the fleet is young — see Tesla Model 3.